Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.414777 0.485254 0.564435 0.660066 0.772558 0.900831 1.058414
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.294771 0.383185 0.493778 0.642653 0.838442 1.088010 1.431674
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.246495 0.344306 0.475977 0.666975 0.938346 1.312182 1.869924
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.207916 0.307733 0.450310 0.670061 1.002586 1.490732 2.268696
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.182178 0.283443 0.435689 0.683019 1.078384 1.691934 2.728095
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.156345 0.254140 0.407936 0.669651 1.108816 1.824787 3.098015
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.137041 0.231804 0.387060 0.662698 1.146247 1.971100 3.509506
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.123179 0.216185 0.374465 0.666781 1.201313 2.152619 4.008047
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.116348 0.211510 0.379450 0.701559 1.314528 2.450898 4.765222
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.109794 0.206297 0.382509 0.732741 1.424791 2.758320 5.588008
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.102602 0.198842 0.380290 0.753220 1.516748 3.042753 6.409409
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.094711 0.188957 0.372067 0.760481 1.582799 3.284072 7.178578
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.085931 0.176411 0.357491 0.753766 1.621015 3.477807 7.887378
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.077011 0.162479 0.338450 0.735241 1.631750 3.615629 8.497218
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.073362 0.159115 0.340817 0.763156 1.748816 4.004585 9.760073
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068025 0.151390 0.332830 0.766704 1.810516 4.276031 10.785104
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064120 0.146332 0.330006 0.781602 1.900900 4.628056 12.074089
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.058460 0.136551 0.315293 0.766234 1.915254 4.796842 12.915159
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053889 0.128760 0.304235 0.758240 1.946873 5.013553 13.924245
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.050546 0.123509 0.298560 0.762934 2.011897 5.326413 15.258273
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.049480 0.123726 0.306200 0.802918 2.176585 5.930110 17.542643
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.048192 0.123220 0.311969 0.838775 2.335570 6.543416 19.973446
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.046334 0.121018 0.313133 0.862329 2.463715 7.090159 22.305836